CHINA WON'T TRIGGER A WAR OVER SPRATLYS!

Fearless forecast: China won’t go to war over the Spratlys. The dispute will be settled PEACEFULLY.

Even if it has one of, if not the biggest armed forces in the world, China is aware that it will be ALONE against all the other claimant-countries, and their allies, if it triggers a shooting war by forcibly seizing or annexing the Spratlys.

China will be up, INITIALLY, against the Philippines, Vietnam, Malaysia, the other claimant countries and most of all, the United States which has vowed to support us in the Spratlys dispute.

Even if I don’t have statistics, I will dare say that the combined military might of these countries can stand up to the Chinese in case of trouble.

And this is only for starters.

If China takes over the Spratlys without an internationally recognized agreement, then it would be ILLEGAL.

If it’s illegal and fighting seems inevitable, or has started, the United Nations (UN) will definitely step in, especially since China’s current moves in the Spratlys reportedly violates UN treaties on the dispute.

Even if it’s China, the UN will surely not allow any illegal act, especially if blood has started to flow.

Up to now, not even one country has expressed support to China for its bullying tactics in the Spratlys. And there are no indications that anybody would, now or in the future.

For who in his right mind would support an illegal act and riskworld condemnation, if not isolation?

If China would dare go into battle over the Spratlys, it would have to spend millions of dollars, probably DAILY. A big portion of its money comes from foreign trade.

But if it starts a fight, China knows trade with the claimant-countries will be STOPPED and REDUCED DRASTICALLY, at the very least, for the claimants’ allies.

Lesser money means lesser capacity to finance a war. If the entire UN eventually unites against it and starts implementing sanctions, like the members will stop buying its products, China will be on its own.

It will be a HELL which, believe me, the Chinese would not even dare dream of.

Some might say that China can just leave the UN and pursue the annexation of the Spratlys. That’s correct. Any member, for that matter, can leave the UN anytime.

But think about this: Japan left the League of Nations before World War 2 when it was sanctioned by the organization for its armed attacks on smaller countries.

Japan continued with its military expansion throughout World War 2 despite being on its own. Now,, go back to your history and find out for yourselves the devastation it suffered when hostilities ended. 30